Team ratings & trends
| # | Team | Rating | RF/g H | RA/g H | RF/g A | RA/g A | L10 | xwOBA form | Luck | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIL Brewers | +1.47 | 5.52 | 3.47 | 4.77 | 4.18 | 9–1 | -4.2pp | +13.9pp | xG form ↓ Running hot |
| 2 | LAD Dodgers | +1.36 | 4.65 | 3.99 | 5.26 | 3.46 | 8–2 | +6.3pp | +7.0pp | xG form ↑ |
| 3 | CHC Cubs | +1.07 | 5.32 | 4.44 | 5.26 | 4.21 | 6–4 | +4.8pp | +5.7pp | xG form ↑ |
| 4 | NYY Yankees | +0.93 | 4.79 | 4.09 | 4.42 | 3.43 | 6–4 | +0.0pp | +3.9pp | |
| 5 | ATL Braves | +0.87 | 4.90 | 3.88 | 4.38 | 3.83 | 5–5 | -1.4pp | +3.0pp | |
| 6 | TB Rays | +0.62 | 4.60 | 3.98 | 4.55 | 4.05 | 7–3 | -0.2pp | +14.9pp | Running hot |
| 7 | BOS Red Sox | +0.53 | 4.37 | 3.99 | 4.21 | 3.62 | 4–6 | +0.0pp | -9.9pp | Running cold |
| 8 | DET Tigers | +0.52 | 4.48 | 3.75 | 4.52 | 4.31 | 5–5 | +2.5pp | -2.3pp | |
| 9 | CWS White Sox | +0.37 | 4.94 | 4.04 | 4.53 | 4.77 | 6–4 | -0.8pp | +9.1pp | Running hot |
| 10 | SD Padres | +0.30 | 4.26 | 3.79 | 4.71 | 4.63 | 8–2 | -3.0pp | +11.1pp | Running hot |
| 11 | PIT Pirates | +0.22 | 5.19 | 4.87 | 4.37 | 4.31 | 6–4 | +3.2pp | -1.7pp | xG form ↑ |
| 12 | PHI Phillies | +0.11 | 4.78 | 4.61 | 4.05 | 4.02 | 4–6 | -0.8pp | -10.9pp | Running cold |
| 13 | CLE Guardians | +0.07 | 4.16 | 4.31 | 4.28 | 3.99 | 8–2 | -0.1pp | +8.9pp | Running hot |
| 14 | WSH Nationals | +0.03 | 5.30 | 5.52 | 4.87 | 4.62 | 6–4 | -1.8pp | +2.7pp | |
| 15 | ARI Diamondbacks | +0.01 | 4.58 | 4.38 | 4.51 | 4.68 | 5–5 | +4.4pp | -3.2pp | xG form ↑ |
| 16 | MIA Marlins | -0.04 | 4.46 | 3.95 | 4.34 | 4.91 | 4–6 | +1.9pp | -6.8pp | |
| 17 | BAL Orioles | -0.18 | 4.20 | 4.39 | 4.72 | 4.85 | 5–5 | +1.6pp | -0.4pp | |
| 18 | STL Cardinals | -0.21 | 3.83 | 4.60 | 5.13 | 4.72 | 2–8 | -2.4pp | -11.3pp | Running cold |
| 19 | HOU Astros | -0.26 | 4.25 | 4.63 | 4.78 | 4.87 | 5–5 | +2.0pp | +6.7pp | |
| 20 | TEX Rangers | -0.26 | 4.18 | 3.94 | 4.17 | 4.88 | 6–4 | +0.7pp | +3.2pp | |
| 21 | NYM Mets | -0.28 | 4.12 | 4.54 | 4.46 | 4.53 | 3–7 | +2.1pp | -4.8pp | |
| 22 | TOR Blue Jays | -0.30 | 3.96 | 4.33 | 4.09 | 4.24 | 4–6 | -1.0pp | -5.1pp | |
| 23 | SEA Mariners | -0.36 | 3.92 | 3.99 | 4.30 | 4.88 | 5–5 | +1.0pp | +2.8pp | |
| 24 | MIN Twins | -0.42 | 4.60 | 4.59 | 4.54 | 5.33 | 5–5 | +1.5pp | +2.1pp | |
| 25 | LAA Angels | -0.64 | 3.54 | 4.33 | 4.53 | 4.87 | 5–5 | +0.0pp | -9.0pp | Running cold |
| 26 | SF Giants | -0.65 | 4.11 | 4.43 | 4.16 | 5.01 | 3–7 | -6.5pp | +0.4pp | xG form ↓ |
| 27 | KC Royals | -0.80 | 4.82 | 4.97 | 3.62 | 4.93 | 2–8 | -2.1pp | -7.9pp | |
| 28 | CIN Reds | -1.13 | 4.01 | 4.74 | 4.24 | 5.56 | 4–6 | -4.1pp | -2.0pp | xG form ↓ |
| 29 | COL Rockies | -1.26 | 5.08 | 6.23 | 4.27 | 5.43 | 3–7 | +1.1pp | -5.4pp | |
| 30 | OAK Athletics | -1.69 | 4.82 | 6.99 | 3.73 | 4.63 | 1–9 | -3.5pp | -16.4pp | xG form ↓ Running cold |
Rating = model-expected run margin vs a league-average opponent (home/away averaged). xwOBA form = last-10 team xwOBA share minus season share. Luck = last-10 run share minus expected (xwOBA) share; big positive values tend to regress.